State revenue receipts doing better than estimated

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FRANKFORT, Ky, (KT) - Kentucky’s state government revenue continues to outperform estimates, according to figures released Wednesday by the Office of the State Budget Director.


General Fund receipts rose 4.4 percent in September with revenues of $1,077.3 million.  This compares to $1,032.4 million collected in September 2017 and is an increase of nearly $45 million.  Through the first quarter of the fiscal year, which began July 1, the General Fund has grown 4.5 percent.


The gains were broad-based, according to State Budget Director John Chilton, who credits legislation passed by lawmakers this year. 


“Total General Fund revenues grew by $44.9 million as all of the major revenue categories, with the exception of natural resources, posted gains,” he said.  “Sales and use, and cigarette tax collections continued to perform strongly while the income taxes have been soft.  This same pattern has persisted the entire first quarter of FY19, and it conforms to expectations following the 2018 tax reform measures adopted in House Bill 487 where consumption taxes were increased and income-based taxation was lowered through rate reductions.”


Chilton said he remains positive looking forward.


“As the remaining elements of tax reform are fully implemented, we will assess the overall tax reform strategy and address any unintended consequences that have arisen. For now, however, the combination of tax reform and a growing economy have state revenues on a solid path to hit the budgeted estimates.”


Breaking down some of the categories:


--Individual income taxes increased 1.3 percent in September as a decline in withholding offset gains in fiduciary, net returns and estimated tax payments.  Year-to-date collections are down 0.7 percent.


--Sales tax revenues grew 7.1 percent in September due in large part to HB 487.  Collections have increased 8.2 percent in the first three months of the year. 


--Corporation income tax receipts fell 9.1 percent for the month and have declined 5.1 percent in the first quarter of the fiscal year.   


--Cigarette taxes are up 108.3 percent in September and have grown 103.1 percent for the first three months of the fiscal year. The increase coincides with the July 1 increase in the cigarette tax from $0.60 per pack to $1.10 per HB 487. The increase was boosted by the one-time collection of increased taxes on cigarettes in wholesaler inventories. While tax collections are up, it appears that consumption is down.


--Property taxes grew 35.9 percent in September but are down 9.5 percent for the year.


--Coal severance tax receipts fell 17.8 percent for the month.  Year-to-date collections are down 21.1 percent.


--Lottery revenues increased 2.6 percent in September and are up 2.7 percent for the year.


The Road Fund is also outperforming estimates, as
receipts grew 0.4 percent in September with collections of $126.3 million.  Year-to-date collections have grown 3.8 percent compared to last year’s total.   The increase in quarterly collections is the strongest since the third quarter of FY17. 


The official Road Fund revenue estimate calls for a 0.3 percent decrease in receipts for the entire fiscal year, which ends June 30, 2019.  Based on year-to-date collections, revenues can fall 1.7 percent for the remainder of the fiscal year to meet the estimate. 


Among the Road Fund accounts:


--Motor fuels receipts rose 2.0 percent in September and have grown 1.2 percent for the year. 


--Motor vehicle usage collections rose 7.1 percent for the month.  Year-to-date collections are up 4.9 percent.


--License and privilege taxes fell 32.4 in September.  For the first three months of the fiscal year, receipts are up 5.9 percent.


--Nontax receipts increased $600,000 in September and have grown 63.7 percent for the year.

           

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